Sizing Up the Amazon-Realogy Deal

WSJ: “Struggling Real-Estate Giant Realogy Strikes Deal With Amazon”

[Editor’s Note:  The views expressed here are solely those of Ross Kaplan, and do not represent Edina Realty, Berkshire Hathaway (“Berkshire”), or any other entity referenced. Edina Realty is a subsidiary of Berkshire, and competes with Realogy subsidiary Coldwell Banker Burnet.]

When a fast-growing, trillion dollar retail juggernaut does a deal with a struggling company less than one-thousandth its size — that happens to have lost 80% of its value in the last year — who do you suppose has more leverage?

That’s what I think, too.

Sizing Up the Deal

In essence, Realogy appears to be paying Amazon, big-time, for deal flow.

Specifically, it’s buying access to well-qualified home buyer and sellers prospects (“leads”), which Amazon identifies on its ever-expanding platform, and will now refer (presumably exclusively) to Realogy.

In return, at the end of the transaction, Realogy is agreeing to stock each newly-purchased home with up to $5,000 in Amazon products (Alexa and other “smart home devices”).

Win-Win (for Amazon)

Where does that potential $5,000 come from?

Realogy’s cut of the commission.

Ouch!

Call it, a giant “in-kind” referral fee.

Reaction #2: “exactly what does Realogy get out of of all this?”

Additional business, true, but at what price??

For Amazon, meanwhile, it’s just another way to monetize its vast (and growing) universe of eyeballs users at virtually zero cost.

In fact, less than zero cost, given Realogy’s commitment to buy Amazon products for their “shared” customers.

P.S.: Why wouldn’t Amazon just buy Realogy?

After all, the cost (about $700 million), barely amounts to loose change for Jeff Bezos’ behemoth.

Answer: because it doesn’t need to, to extract maximum value out of the relationship.



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